V-Lab
Guangdong Shaoneng Group ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026
1 Day
116.89
1 Week
103.48
1 Month
197.32
Analysis last updated: Saturday, July 25, 2026 at 10:55 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Aug 30, 1996 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 3 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 3 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 21 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2344 | 0.00 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.6929 | 0.21 |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.2344 | 0.00 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 10.0000 | 0.00 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.8347 | 0.00 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.1653 | 0.00 |
Persistence:
0.810
Half-life:
3 days
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