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V-Lab

Ishares Core Sp500 IDX (Cad) MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, September 8th, 2026

1 Day

11.21%

decreased by 0.01%

1 Week

11.72%

increased by 0.50%

1 Month

13.02%

increased by 1.80%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, September 5, 2026 at 09:28 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Ishares Core Sp500 IDX (Cad) MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 29, 2001 to Sep 4, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Leverage: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks
ParamValuet-stat
mwindow61
αARCH0.0000
0.00
βGARCH0.8339
48.22***
γleverage0.2155
9.65***
λ₁tau intercept0.0104
1.23
λ₂forecast adj.0.0527
1.43
λ₃tau persistence0.9373
21.58***

0.942

Persistence

12d

Half-life
σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

61
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0000
0.00
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8339
48.22***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.2155
9.65***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0104
1.23
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0527
1.43
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9373
21.58***

Persistence:

0.942

Half-life:

12 days