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Ishares Core Sp500 IDX (Cad) MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, November 10th, 2026

1 Day

30.99%

decreased by 2.50%

1 Week

30.01%

decreased by 3.48%

1 Month

26.99%

decreased by 6.50%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, November 10, 2026 at 10:07 AM UTC

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Date Range:

from

11/09/2024

to

11/09/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Ishares Core Sp500 IDX (Cad) MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 29, 2001 to Nov 6, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Leverage: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks
ParamValuet-stat
mwindow61
αARCH0.0000
0.00
βGARCH0.8359
49.33***
γleverage0.2162
9.63***
λ₁tau intercept0.0097
1.25
λ₂forecast adj.0.0474
1.45
λ₃tau persistence0.9436
24.42***

0.944

Persistence

12d

Half-life
σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

61
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0000
0.00
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8359
49.33***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.2162
9.63***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0097
1.25
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0474
1.45
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9436
24.42***

Persistence:

0.944

Half-life:

12 days