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Ishares Core Sp500 IDX (Cad) GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, November 10th, 2026

1 Day

30.05%

decreased by 1.70%

1 Week

29.61%

decreased by 2.14%

1 Month

28.05%

decreased by 3.70%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, November 10, 2026 at 10:07 AM UTC

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Date Range:

from

11/09/2024

to

11/09/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Ishares Core Sp500 IDX (Cad) GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 29, 2001 to Nov 6, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Leverage: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0254
4.08***
αARCH0.0018
0.09
βGARCH0.8870
72.30***
γleverage0.1789
5.98***

0.978

Persistence

31d

Half-life
σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0254
4.08***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0018
0.09
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8870
72.30***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1789
5.98***

Persistence:

0.978

Half-life:

31 days