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V-Lab

Ishares Core Sp500 IDX (Cad) GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 28th, 2026

1 Day

12.94%

decreased by 0.53%

1 Week

13.14%

decreased by 0.33%

1 Month

13.80%

increased by 0.33%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 28, 2026 at 09:26 AM UTC

Date Range:

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to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

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graph of Ishares Core Sp500 IDX (Cad) GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 29, 2001 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0251
16.25***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0026
0.52
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8879
289.14***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1748
23.25***

Persistence:

0.978

Half-life:

31 days