V-Lab
Ishares Core Sp500 IDX (Cad) GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 28th, 2026
1 Day
12.94%
decreased by 0.53%
1 Week
13.14%
decreased by 0.33%
1 Month
13.80%
increased by 0.33%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 28, 2026 at 09:26 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
May 29, 2001 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0251 | 16.25*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0026 | 0.52 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8879 | 289.14*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1748 | 23.25*** |
Persistence:
0.978
Half-life:
31 days
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