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V-Lab

VIEL & Cie SA MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 5th, 2026

1 Day

28.37%

increased by 3.55%

1 Week

28.57%

increased by 3.75%

1 Month

28.96%

increased by 4.14%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 5, 2026 at 06:37 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of VIEL & Cie SA MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 1, 1990 to Jul 31, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a modest leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 16% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

26
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1906
27.96***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.5318
43.82***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0304
2.84***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0463
2.84***
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0206
4.44***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9678
124.74***

Persistence:

0.738

Half-life:

2 days