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V-Lab

VIEL & Cie SA GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026

1 Day

30.26%

decreased by 0.81%

1 Week

31.49%

increased by 0.42%

1 Month

34.09%

increased by 3.02%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 06:27 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of VIEL & Cie SA GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 1, 1990 to Jul 10, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 7 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 7 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 3.12 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

5.3757
10.26***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1570
27.62***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9049
100.19***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

3.1168
21.65***

Persistence:

0.905

Half-life:

7 days