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VIEL & Cie SA GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, October 29th, 2026

1 Day

26.71%

decreased by 2.24%

1 Week

28.53%

decreased by 0.42%

1 Month

31.73%

increased by 2.78%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 29, 2026 at 09:35 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/28/2024

to

10/28/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of VIEL & Cie SA GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 1, 1990 to Oct 23, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 5 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 5 days.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 5-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.5786
6.80***
αARCH0.1857
5.25***
βGARCH0.6695
22.08***
γleverage0.0405
0.63

0.875

Persistence

5d

Half-life
σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.5786
6.80***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1857
5.25***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6695
22.08***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0405
0.63

Persistence:

0.875

Half-life:

5 days