V-Lab
VIEL & Cie SA GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 5th, 2026
1 Day
29.43%
increased by 3.09%
1 Week
30.57%
increased by 4.23%
1 Month
32.65%
increased by 6.31%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 5, 2026 at 06:37 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 1, 1990 to Jul 31, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a modest leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 22% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.5818 | 27.20*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1876 | 21.07*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.6678 | 87.92*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0405 | 2.49** |
Persistence:
0.876
Half-life:
5 days
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