Skip to main content
V-Lab

VIEL & Cie SA GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026

1 Day

27.37%

decreased by 1.36%

1 Week

29.05%

increased by 0.32%

1 Month

32.02%

increased by 3.29%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 06:27 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of VIEL & Cie SA GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 1, 1990 to Jul 10, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a modest leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 22% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.5826
27.19***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1879
21.07***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6675
87.85***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0405
2.48**

Persistence:

0.876

Half-life:

5 days