V-Lab
Utl Industries Ltd MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026
1 Day
41.24%
increased by 6.36%
1 Week
42.90%
increased by 8.02%
1 Month
46.21%
increased by 11.33%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 09:09 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Sep 13, 2013 to Aug 21, 2026Illiquid Asset
Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 6 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 6 days.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 56 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2195 | 16.95*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.6627 | 27.64*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0226 | 1.48 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 7.2017 | 0.00 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.2533 | 0.00 |
Persistence:
0.894
Half-life:
6 days
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