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V-Lab

Utl Industries Ltd MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026

1 Day

41.24%

increased by 6.36%

1 Week

42.90%

increased by 8.02%

1 Month

46.21%

increased by 11.33%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 09:09 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Utl Industries Ltd MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Sep 13, 2013 to Aug 21, 2026
Illiquid Asset

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 6 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 6 days.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

56
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2195
16.95***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6627
27.64***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0226
1.48
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

7.2017
0.00
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0000
0.00
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.2533
0.00

Persistence:

0.894

Half-life:

6 days