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V-Lab

Utl Industries Ltd GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026

1 Day

1,579,220.90%

increased by 461,585.65%

1 Week

1,577,642.42%

increased by 460,007.17%

1 Month

1,571,354.83%

increased by 453,719.58%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 09:09 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

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graph of Utl Industries Ltd GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Sep 13, 2013 to Aug 21, 2026
Illiquid Asset
Boundary Parameters

Model Insight

The estimated Student-t degrees of freedom v = 2.00 sit at the infinite-variance boundary (v → 2): the model is attributing extreme moves to heavy tails rather than to volatility, so the volatility scale is unreliable here. See the boundary-parameters flag.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.2710
9.56***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2444
337.12***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9990
9,605.77***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

2.0000

Persistence:

0.999

Half-life:

693 days