Skip to main content
V-Lab

Utl Industries Ltd Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026

1 Day

44.74%

increased by 5.93%

1 Week

47.05%

increased by 8.24%

1 Month

50.64%

increased by 11.83%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 09:08 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Utl Industries Ltd S0GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Sep 13, 2013 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 4 trading days.

τ

Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.3397
2.14**
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2138
8.16***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6336
13.44***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=7
γ1-0.9930
-1.68*
γ21.2668
1.61
γ3-0.1585
-0.54
γ4-0.2332
-1.21
γ50.0206
0.11
γ60.2229
1.36
γ7-0.1715
-1.42

Persistence:

0.847

Half-life:

4 days