V-Lab
Utl Industries Ltd GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026
1 Day
40.55%
increased by 5.80%
1 Week
42.03%
increased by 7.28%
1 Month
45.23%
increased by 10.48%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 09:08 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Sep 13, 2013 to Aug 21, 2026Illiquid Asset
Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 7 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 7 days.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.8611 | 7.10*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2062 | 17.90*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.6875 | 46.62*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0300 | 1.52 |
Persistence:
0.909
Half-life:
7 days
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