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US Dollar to Taiwanese Dollar GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

3.71%

decreased by 0.24%

1 Week

3.79%

decreased by 0.16%

1 Month

4.04%

increased by 0.09%

Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 26, 2026 at 02:56 PM UTC

Date Range:

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to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

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graph of US Dollar to Taiwanese Dollar GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 30, 1990 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 24 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 24 days.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0028
21.15***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1359
19.10***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8377
181.36***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0037
-0.34

Persistence:

0.972

Half-life:

24 days