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US Dollar to Taiwanese Dollar MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, October 26th, 2026

1 Day

4.17%

decreased by 0.11%

1 Week

4.26%

decreased by 0.02%

1 Month

4.49%

increased by 0.21%

Analysis last updated: Friday, October 23, 2026 at 08:17 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/23/2024

to

10/23/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of US Dollar to Taiwanese Dollar MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 30, 1990 to Oct 23, 2026
Stationarity Enforced

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 4 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 4 days.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 4-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
mwindow46
αARCH0.1390
4.41***
βGARCH0.6910
15.85***
γleverage0.0045
0.12
λ₁tau intercept0.0259
2.08**
λ₂forecast adj.0.6091
2.47**
λ₃tau persistence0.0000
0.00

0.832

Persistence

4d

Half-life
σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

46
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1390
4.41***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6910
15.85***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0045
0.12
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0259
2.08**
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.6091
2.47**
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.0000
0.00

Persistence:

0.832

Half-life:

4 days