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V-Lab

US Dollar to Euro MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, November 9th, 2026

1 Day

4.42%

decreased by 0.37%

1 Week

4.60%

decreased by 0.19%

1 Month

4.68%

decreased by 0.11%

Analysis last updated: Sunday, November 8, 2026 at 03:18 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

11/08/2024

to

11/08/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of US Dollar to Euro MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 4, 1999 to Nov 6, 2026
σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParamValuet-stat
mwindow41
αARCH0.0661
4.07***
βGARCH0.0000
0.00
γleverage0.0012
0.05
λ₁tau intercept0.0041
2.67***
λ₂forecast adj.0.1390
3.48***
λ₃tau persistence0.8435
18.86***

0.067

Persistence

0d

Half-life
σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

41
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0661
4.07***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.0000
0.00
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0012
0.05
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0041
2.67***
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.1390
3.48***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.8435
18.86***

Persistence:

0.067

Half-life:

0 days