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V-Lab

Unipol Assicurazioni SpA MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

24.83%

decreased by 0.44%

1 Week

25.75%

increased by 0.48%

1 Month

27.48%

increased by 2.21%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, July 25, 2026 at 10:15 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Unipol Assicurazioni SpA MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 4, 2017 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

81
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0032
1.08
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8026
32.88***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1399
16.98***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

2.6211
0.02
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.1762
0.02
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.0000
0.00

Persistence:

0.876

Half-life:

5 days