Skip to main content
V-Lab

Unipol Assicurazioni SpA GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

23.98%

decreased by 0.44%

1 Week

24.62%

increased by 0.20%

1 Month

26.07%

increased by 1.65%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, July 25, 2026 at 10:14 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Unipol Assicurazioni SpA GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 4, 2017 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.2616
9.05***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0089
3.56***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8480
91.35***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1156
8.62***

Persistence:

0.915

Half-life:

8 days