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V-Lab

TD Q Canadian Dividend ETF MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 26th, 2026

1 Day

7.81%

decreased by 0.11%

1 Week

8.54%

increased by 0.62%

1 Month

9.86%

increased by 1.94%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 26, 2026 at 07:30 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of TD Q Canadian Dividend ETF MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 26, 2019 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

46
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0000
0.00
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7630
105.03***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.2434
29.17***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.2635
0.35
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.5020
0.33
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.0000
0.00

Persistence:

0.885

Half-life:

6 days