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V-Lab

TD Q Canadian Dividend ETF GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 26th, 2026

1 Day

7.79%

decreased by 0.16%

1 Week

8.47%

increased by 0.52%

1 Month

10.25%

increased by 2.30%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 26, 2026 at 07:30 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of TD Q Canadian Dividend ETF GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 26, 2019 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0328
13.78***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0136
2.54**
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8249
139.98***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.2389
12.78***

Persistence:

0.958

Half-life:

16 days