V-Lab
Trident Lifeline Limited MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, August 25th, 2026
1 Day
39.18%
increased by 4.70%
1 Week
39.01%
increased by 4.53%
1 Month
38.47%
increased by 3.99%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 06:59 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 10, 2022 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a notable leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 62% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 36 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0816 | 7.95*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7445 | 32.27*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0504 | 2.58*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0099 | 1.36 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9886 | 84.38*** |
Persistence:
0.851
Half-life:
4 days
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