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V-Lab

Trident Lifeline Limited MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, August 25th, 2026

1 Day

39.18%

increased by 4.70%

1 Week

39.01%

increased by 4.53%

1 Month

38.47%

increased by 3.99%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 06:59 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Trident Lifeline Limited MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 10, 2022 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a notable leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 62% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

36
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0816
7.95***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7445
32.27***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0504
2.58***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0000
0.00
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0099
1.36
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9886
84.38***

Persistence:

0.851

Half-life:

4 days