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V-Lab

Trident Lifeline Limited GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, August 25th, 2026

1 Day

55.68%

increased by 6.26%

1 Week

57.30%

increased by 7.88%

1 Month

60.66%

increased by 11.24%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 06:59 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Trident Lifeline Limited GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 10, 2022 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 6 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 6 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 3.34 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

16.2603
4.14***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0910
6.33***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8984
32.58***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

3.3391
3.40***

Persistence:

0.898

Half-life:

6 days