V-Lab
Trident Lifeline Limited GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, August 25th, 2026
1 Day
55.68%
increased by 6.26%
1 Week
57.30%
increased by 7.88%
1 Month
60.66%
increased by 11.24%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 06:59 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 10, 2022 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 6 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 6 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 3.34 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.
𝑓
GAS-GARCH-T Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 16.2603 | 4.14*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0910 | 6.33*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8984 | 32.58*** |
ν DF Student-t tail thickness | 3.3391 | 3.40*** |
Persistence:
0.898
Half-life:
6 days
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