V-Lab
Trident Lifeline Limited Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, August 25th, 2026
1 Day
41.86%
increased by 3.88%
1 Week
42.03%
increased by 4.05%
1 Month
42.21%
increased by 4.23%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 06:59 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 10, 2022 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 2 trading days.
τ
Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.0576 | 6.94*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1238 | 2.40** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.6231 | 4.55*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=2
| γ1 | -0.2716 | -1.89* |
| γ2 | 0.4158 | 2.29** |
Persistence:
0.747
Half-life:
2 days
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