Tivoli A/S MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful
Volatility prediction for Thursday, May 21st, 2026
1 Day
0.03%
decreased by 20.51%
1 Week
0.02%
decreased by 20.52%
1 Month
0.02%
decreased by 20.52%
Analysis last updated: Thursday, May 21, 2026 at 06:42 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 61 | ||
| 1.0000 | 9,999,900.00 | |
| 0.0000 | 100.00 | |
| 0.0000 | 0.00 | |
| 0.0000 | 10.00 | |
| 0.0000 | 100.00 | |
| 0.0000 | 100.00 |
Estimation Period:
Jan 9, 1990 to May 13, 2026
Jan 9, 1990 to May 13, 2026
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