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V-Lab

Tivoli A/S GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

12.42%

decreased by 0.38%

1 Week

13.46%

increased by 0.66%

1 Month

16.61%

increased by 3.81%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, July 25, 2026 at 11:41 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Tivoli A/S GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 9, 1990 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a modest leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 36% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0664
26.62***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1367
20.62***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8189
258.26***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0495
3.90***

Persistence:

0.980

Half-life:

35 days