V-Lab
Tivoli A/S GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026
1 Day
12.42%
decreased by 0.38%
1 Week
13.46%
increased by 0.66%
1 Month
16.61%
increased by 3.81%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, July 25, 2026 at 11:41 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 9, 1990 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a modest leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 36% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0664 | 26.62*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1367 | 20.62*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8189 | 258.26*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0495 | 3.90*** |
Persistence:
0.980
Half-life:
35 days
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