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V-Lab

S&P 500 Scored & Screened Index (ESG) MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 19th, 2026

1 Day

12.46%

increased by 1.25%

1 Week

13.05%

increased by 1.84%

1 Month

14.50%

increased by 3.29%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 18, 2026 at 11:06 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of S&P 500 Scored & Screened Index (ESG) MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 28, 2005 to Aug 14, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

76
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0000
0.00
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8312
193.08***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.2272
28.70***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0340
2.60***
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.1212
2.37**
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.8480
13.40***

Persistence:

0.945

Half-life:

12 days