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V-Lab

S&P 500 Equal Weight Index (EWI) GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

10.53%

decreased by 0.21%

1 Week

10.81%

increased by 0.07%

1 Month

11.76%

increased by 1.02%

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 11:11 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

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graph of S&P 500 Equal Weight Index (EWI) GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 1, 1990 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0187
22.30***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0175
8.25***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8982
488.70***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1378
27.03***

Persistence:

0.985

Half-life:

45 days