V-Lab
S&P 500 Equal Weight Index (EWI) GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026
1 Day
10.53%
decreased by 0.21%
1 Week
10.81%
increased by 0.07%
1 Month
11.76%
increased by 1.02%
Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 11:11 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 1, 1990 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0187 | 22.30*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0175 | 8.25*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8982 | 488.70*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1378 | 27.03*** |
Persistence:
0.985
Half-life:
45 days
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