Skip to main content
V-Lab

Invesco S&P 500 Quality ETF MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 21st, 2026

1 Day

19.43%

decreased by 1.25%

1 Week

19.53%

decreased by 1.15%

1 Month

20.12%

decreased by 0.56%

Analysis last updated: Monday, July 20, 2026 at 09:49 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Invesco S&P 500 Quality ETF MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 6, 2005 to Jul 17, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

61
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0000
0.00
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8166
134.44***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.2445
32.20***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0194
2.96***
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.1249
2.56**
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.8596
15.74***

Persistence:

0.939

Half-life:

11 days