Invesco S&P 500 Quality ETF GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 21st, 2026
1 Day
19.58%
decreased by 1.13%
1 Week
19.56%
decreased by 1.15%
1 Month
19.51%
decreased by 1.20%
Analysis last updated: Monday, July 20, 2026 at 09:49 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 6, 2005 to Jul 17, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0291 | 16.39*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0168 | 2.72*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8651 | 203.09*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1963 | 20.67*** |
Persistence:
0.980
Half-life:
34 days
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