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V-Lab

Invesco S&P 500 Quality ETF GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 21st, 2026

1 Day

19.58%

decreased by 1.13%

1 Week

19.56%

decreased by 1.15%

1 Month

19.51%

decreased by 1.20%

Analysis last updated: Monday, July 20, 2026 at 09:49 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Invesco S&P 500 Quality ETF GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 6, 2005 to Jul 17, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0291
16.39***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0168
2.72***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8651
203.09***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1963
20.67***

Persistence:

0.980

Half-life:

34 days