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Invesco S&P 500 Quality ETF GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, November 10th, 2026

1 Day

31.50%

decreased by 1.59%

1 Week

31.11%

decreased by 1.98%

1 Month

29.73%

decreased by 3.36%

Analysis last updated: Monday, November 9, 2026 at 10:48 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

11/09/2024

to

11/09/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Invesco S&P 500 Quality ETF GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 6, 2005 to Nov 6, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Leverage: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0293
4.19***
αARCH0.0168
0.68
βGARCH0.8643
51.11***
γleverage0.1982
5.25***

0.980

Persistence

35d

Half-life
σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0293
4.19***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0168
0.68
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8643
51.11***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1982
5.25***

Persistence:

0.980

Half-life:

35 days