CBOE Emerging Market Markets Volatility Index

How volatility evolves over time

How illiquidity evolves over time

{name} Model Equation

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Spline Coefficients

Value at Risk (VaR) estimates the maximum loss at a given confidence level. Expected Shortfall (ES) estimates the average loss beyond VaR.

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Param	Value	t-stat
mwindow	21
αARCH	0.0517	3.46***
βGARCH	0.7815	35.29***
γleverage	0.1362	4.34***
λ₁tau intercept	0.0030	2.56**
λ₂forecast adj.	0.0222	3.19***
λ₃tau persistence	0.9765	133.75***

Parameter	Value	t-statistic
m window Rolling window length	21
α ARCH Response to squared shocks	0.0517	3.46***
β GARCH Volatility persistence	0.7815	35.29***
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks	0.1362	4.34***
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient	0.0030	2.56**
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity	0.0222	3.19***
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence	0.9765	133.75***

V-Lab

Stock Exchange of Thailand SET Index MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Date Range:

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