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V-Lab

Stock Exchange of Thailand SET Index MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, July 24th, 2026

1 Day

14.42%

decreased by 0.50%

1 Week

15.26%

increased by 0.34%

1 Month

17.08%

increased by 2.16%

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 05:41 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Stock Exchange of Thailand SET Index MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Jul 17, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 265% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

21
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0515
11.99***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7815
60.02***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1365
14.81***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0029
6.21***
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0219
3.29***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9768
140.25***

Persistence:

0.901

Half-life:

7 days