V-Lab
Sequoia Logistica E Transpor MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026
1 Day
126.76%
decreased by 6.72%
1 Week
137.02%
increased by 3.54%
1 Month
153.30%
increased by 19.82%
Analysis last updated: Sunday, August 23, 2026 at 03:40 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 7, 2020 to Aug 21, 2026Boundary Parameters
Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 3 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 3 days.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 81 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1418 | 4.27*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.6377 | 21.21*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0189 | 0.58 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 10.0000 | 0.20 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.7028 | 0.21 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.1167 | 0.03 |
Persistence:
0.789
Half-life:
3 days
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