V-Lab
Sequoia Logistica E Transpor MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026
1 Day
142.83%
decreased by 13.69%
1 Week
148.71%
decreased by 7.81%
1 Month
157.14%
increased by 0.62%
Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 26, 2026 at 06:53 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 7, 2020 to Jul 24, 2026Boundary Parameters
Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 3 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 3 days.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 81 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1432 | 4.32*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.6416 | 21.13*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0158 | 0.48 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 10.0000 | 0.22 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.7460 | 0.23 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.0819 | 0.02 |
Persistence:
0.793
Half-life:
3 days
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