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V-Lab

Sequoia Logistica E Transpor MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026

1 Day

153.45%

increased by 38.85%

1 Week

154.87%

increased by 40.27%

1 Month

156.93%

increased by 42.33%

Analysis last updated: Sunday, August 9, 2026 at 03:11 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Sequoia Logistica E Transpor MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 7, 2020 to Aug 7, 2026
Boundary Parameters

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 3 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 3 days.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

81
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1406
4.23***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6404
20.90***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0204
0.63
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

10.0000
0.20
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.7179
0.21
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.1032
0.02

Persistence:

0.791

Half-life:

3 days