V-Lab
Sequoia Logistica E Transpor MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026
1 Day
153.45%
increased by 38.85%
1 Week
154.87%
increased by 40.27%
1 Month
156.93%
increased by 42.33%
Analysis last updated: Sunday, August 9, 2026 at 03:11 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 7, 2020 to Aug 7, 2026Boundary Parameters
Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 3 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 3 days.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 81 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1406 | 4.23*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.6404 | 20.90*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0204 | 0.63 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 10.0000 | 0.20 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.7179 | 0.21 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.1032 | 0.02 |
Persistence:
0.791
Half-life:
3 days
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