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V-Lab

Sequoia Logistica E Transpor MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

142.83%

decreased by 13.69%

1 Week

148.71%

decreased by 7.81%

1 Month

157.14%

increased by 0.62%

Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 26, 2026 at 06:53 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Sequoia Logistica E Transpor MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 7, 2020 to Jul 24, 2026
Boundary Parameters

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 3 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 3 days.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

81
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1432
4.32***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6416
21.13***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0158
0.48
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

10.0000
0.22
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.7460
0.23
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.0819
0.02

Persistence:

0.793

Half-life:

3 days