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V-Lab

Sequoia Logistica E Transpor Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, August 11th, 2026

1 Day

153.58%

decreased by 13.41%

1 Week

162.15%

decreased by 4.84%

1 Month

172.57%

increased by 5.58%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 11, 2026 at 09:43 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Sequoia Logistica E Transpor SGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 7, 2020 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 3 trading days.

τ

Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.5454
4.71***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1818
3.88***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6110
6.85***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=7
γ11.8658
1.77*
γ2-2.8614
-1.61
γ31.2774
0.76
γ4-0.2906
-0.17
γ5-1.7880
-1.57
γ65.0784
4.42***
γ7-5.1525
-2.57**

Persistence:

0.793

Half-life:

3 days