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V-Lab

Sequoia Logistica E Transpor Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026

1 Day

148.30%

decreased by 5.55%

1 Week

163.46%

increased by 9.61%

1 Month

180.64%

increased by 26.79%

Analysis last updated: Sunday, August 23, 2026 at 03:40 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Sequoia Logistica E Transpor S0GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 7, 2020 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 3 trading days.

τ

Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.5419
4.75***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1792
3.78***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6066
6.56***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=7
γ11.8573
1.81*
γ2-2.8789
-1.66*
γ31.3853
0.81
γ4-0.5388
-0.30
γ5-1.3703
-1.06
γ64.6207
4.54***
γ7-4.7656
-5.56***

Persistence:

0.786

Half-life:

3 days