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V-Lab

Sequoia Logistica E Transpor Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026

1 Day

170.77%

increased by 35.14%

1 Week

175.46%

increased by 39.83%

1 Month

181.33%

increased by 45.70%

Analysis last updated: Sunday, August 9, 2026 at 03:10 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Sequoia Logistica E Transpor S0GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 7, 2020 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 3 trading days.

τ

Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.5447
4.71***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1817
3.88***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6111
6.84***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=7
γ11.8567
1.76*
γ2-2.8495
-1.60
γ31.2780
0.75
γ4-0.3079
-0.18
γ5-1.7398
-1.49
γ64.9650
4.79***
γ7-4.8755
-5.43***

Persistence:

0.793

Half-life:

3 days