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V-Lab

Ljubljana Stock Exchange Slovenian Blue-Chip SBITOP Index GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, July 17th, 2026

1 Day

10.16%

increased by 0.23%

1 Week

10.90%

increased by 0.97%

1 Month

12.82%

increased by 2.89%

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 17, 2026 at 11:34 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Ljubljana Stock Exchange Slovenian Blue-Chip SBITOP Index GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Mar 31, 2006 to Jun 24, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 110% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0537
18.56***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1052
13.09***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7858
94.17***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1158
7.38***

Persistence:

0.949

Half-life:

13 days