V-Lab
Ljubljana Stock Exchange Slovenian Blue-Chip SBITOP Index GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Friday, July 17th, 2026
1 Day
10.16%
increased by 0.23%
1 Week
10.90%
increased by 0.97%
1 Month
12.82%
increased by 2.89%
Analysis last updated: Friday, July 17, 2026 at 11:34 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Mar 31, 2006 to Jun 24, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 110% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0537 | 18.56*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1052 | 13.09*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7858 | 94.17*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1158 | 7.38*** |
Persistence:
0.949
Half-life:
13 days
Other Ljubljana Stock Exchange Slovenian Blue-Chip SBITOP Index Analyses
Other GJR-GARCH Analyses on Equity Indices