Nikkei Stock Average Volatility Index

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{name} Model Equation

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Value at Risk (VaR) estimates the maximum loss at a given confidence level. Expected Shortfall (ES) estimates the average loss beyond VaR.

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Param	Value	t-stat
mwindow	31
αARCH	0.0000	0.00
βGARCH	0.8354	48.18***
γleverage	0.1350	9.00***
λ₁tau intercept	0.0171	2.89***
λ₂forecast adj.	0.0753	4.17***
λ₃tau persistence	0.9161	47.55***

Parameter	Value	t-statistic
m window Rolling window length	31
α ARCH Response to squared shocks	0.0000	0.00
β GARCH Volatility persistence	0.8354	48.18***
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks	0.1350	9.00***
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient	0.0171	2.89***
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity	0.0753	4.17***
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence	0.9161	47.55***

V-Lab

S&P Asia 50 CME MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Date Range:

News Impact Curve

Volatility Forecast

Parameter Estimates

Other S&P Asia 50 CME Analyses