Nikkei Stock Average Volatility Index

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{name} Model Equation

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Spline Coefficients

Value at Risk (VaR) estimates the maximum loss at a given confidence level. Expected Shortfall (ES) estimates the average loss beyond VaR.

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Param	Value	t-stat
ωconst	0.0226	4.99***
αARCH	0.0293	3.39***
βGARCH	0.9221	141.04***
γleverage	0.0774	4.50***

Parameter	Value	t-statistic
ω const Unconditional variance weight	0.0226	4.99***
α ARCH Response to squared shocks	0.0293	3.39***
β GARCH Volatility persistence	0.9221	141.04***
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks	0.0774	4.50***

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S&P Asia 50 CME GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Date Range:

News Impact Curve

Volatility Forecast

Parameter Estimates

Other S&P Asia 50 CME Analyses