V-Lab
Invesco Galaxy Solana ETF GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, August 11th, 2026
1 Day
47.32%
decreased by 0.95%
1 Week
49.39%
increased by 1.12%
1 Month
54.56%
increased by 6.29%
Analysis last updated: Monday, August 10, 2026 at 09:22 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 15, 2025 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 11 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 11 days.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.9849 | 2.23** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8544 | 28.20*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1646 | 3.98*** |
Persistence:
0.937
Half-life:
11 days
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