V-Lab
Invesco Galaxy Solana ETF GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 26th, 2026
1 Day
45.45%
decreased by 0.24%
1 Week
48.34%
increased by 2.65%
1 Month
55.01%
increased by 9.32%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 26, 2026 at 02:15 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 15, 2025 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 9 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 9 days.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.1703 | 2.88*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8486 | 28.23*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1581 | 4.02*** |
Persistence:
0.928
Half-life:
9 days
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