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V-Lab

Primerica Inc GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026

1 Day

24.94%

decreased by 1.42%

1 Week

25.42%

decreased by 0.94%

1 Month

26.54%

increased by 0.18%

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 21, 2026 at 11:03 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Primerica Inc GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 2, 2010 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 196% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.2577
18.81***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0611
8.80***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7959
99.92***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1195
8.40***

Persistence:

0.917

Half-life:

8 days