V-Lab
Primerica Inc MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026
1 Day
24.39%
decreased by 1.69%
1 Week
24.68%
decreased by 1.40%
1 Month
25.33%
decreased by 0.75%
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 21, 2026 at 11:06 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Apr 2, 2010 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 258% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 126 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0570 | 9.15*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7740 | 93.95*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1470 | 18.56*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0072 | 1.89* |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0052 | 3.43*** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9925 | 392.30*** |
Persistence:
0.904
Half-life:
7 days
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