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V-Lab

Primerica Inc MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026

1 Day

24.39%

decreased by 1.69%

1 Week

24.68%

decreased by 1.40%

1 Month

25.33%

decreased by 0.75%

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 21, 2026 at 11:06 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Primerica Inc MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 2, 2010 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 258% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

126
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0570
9.15***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7740
93.95***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1470
18.56***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0072
1.89*
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0052
3.43***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9925
392.30***

Persistence:

0.904

Half-life:

7 days