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V-Lab

Primerica Inc GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, August 25th, 2026

1 Day

23.80%

increased by 0.87%

1 Week

24.15%

increased by 1.22%

1 Month

25.16%

increased by 2.23%

Analysis last updated: Monday, August 24, 2026 at 09:49 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Primerica Inc GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 2, 2010 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 14 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 14 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 5.24 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

2.9853
8.84***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0910
18.22***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9524
164.34***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

5.2441
5.25***

Persistence:

0.952

Half-life:

14 days