Skip to main content
V-Lab

Pelagos Insurance Capital Ltd GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 26th, 2026

1 Day

27.70%

decreased by 0.37%

1 Week

29.74%

increased by 1.67%

1 Month

30.94%

increased by 2.87%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 09:49 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Pelagos Insurance Capital Ltd GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 29, 2023 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 1 trading day, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 1 day. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 4.43 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

3.8987
7.66***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0984
2.33**
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.5926
16.19***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

4.4301
0.90

Persistence:

0.593

Half-life:

1 days