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V-Lab

Plc Spa MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026

1 Day

35.28%

decreased by 0.91%

1 Week

40.17%

increased by 3.98%

1 Month

40.31%

increased by 4.12%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 11:22 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Plc Spa MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jul 20, 2006 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a notable leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 53% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

81
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2097
15.66***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.1569
5.25***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1117
4.72***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

1.0338
0.41
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.4363
0.44
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.4626
0.37

Persistence:

0.422

Half-life:

1 days