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V-Lab

Loreal Sa MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, October 7th, 2026

1 Day

24.72%

decreased by 0.40%

1 Week

24.73%

decreased by 0.39%

1 Month

24.76%

decreased by 0.36%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, October 7, 2026 at 06:08 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/06/2024

to

10/06/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Loreal Sa MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 4, 2017 to Oct 2, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Leverage: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks
ParamValuet-stat
mwindow126
αARCH0.0000
0.00
βGARCH0.9545
74.63***
γleverage0.0630
4.59***
λ₁tau intercept2.4883
1.17
λ₂forecast adj.0.0000
0.00
λ₃tau persistence0.0000
0.00

0.986

Persistence

49d

Half-life
σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

126
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0000
0.00
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9545
74.63***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0630
4.59***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

2.4883
1.17
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0000
0.00
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.0000
0.00

Persistence:

0.986

Half-life:

49 days