V-Lab
Loreal Sa MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 26th, 2026
1 Day
23.97%
decreased by 0.16%
1 Week
24.00%
decreased by 0.13%
1 Month
24.12%
decreased by 0.01%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 26, 2026 at 07:21 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 4, 2017 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 126 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9542 | 216.48*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0637 | 15.62*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 2.5108 | 0.00 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
Persistence:
0.986
Half-life:
50 days
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