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V-Lab

Loreal Sa MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, October 29th, 2026

1 Day

21.57%

increased by 0.61%

1 Week

21.67%

increased by 0.71%

1 Month

22.04%

increased by 1.08%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 29, 2026 at 08:52 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/28/2024

to

10/28/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Loreal Sa MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 4, 2017 to Oct 23, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Leverage: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks
ParamValuet-stat
mwindow126
αARCH0.0000
0.00
βGARCH0.9569
77.98***
γleverage0.0602
4.41***
λ₁tau intercept2.5314
1.18
λ₂forecast adj.0.0000
0.00
λ₃tau persistence0.0000
0.00

0.987

Persistence

53d

Half-life
σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

126
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0000
0.00
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9569
77.98***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0602
4.41***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

2.5314
1.18
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0000
0.00
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.0000
0.00

Persistence:

0.987

Half-life:

53 days