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V-Lab

Loreal Sa MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026

1 Day

22.76%

decreased by 0.34%

1 Week

22.83%

decreased by 0.27%

1 Month

23.08%

decreased by 0.02%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 05:56 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Loreal Sa MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 4, 2017 to Jul 10, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

126
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0000
0.00
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9541
225.13***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0641
15.64***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

2.5119
0.00
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0000
0.00
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.0000
0.00

Persistence:

0.986

Half-life:

50 days