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V-Lab

Loreal Sa GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 5th, 2026

1 Day

24.43%

increased by 0.91%

1 Week

24.45%

increased by 0.93%

1 Month

24.53%

increased by 1.01%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 5, 2026 at 05:54 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Loreal Sa GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 4, 2017 to Jul 31, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.992, volatility shocks have a half-life of 82 trading days (~0.3 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0220
6.01***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0000
0.00
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9607
386.46***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0617
10.43***

Persistence:

0.992

Half-life:

82 days