Optimal Blue 30-Year Fixed Rate Conforming Mortgage Index GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Friday, February 6th, 2026:8.34% (-0.11%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.0166 | 11.80 | |
| 0.0825 | 10.51 | |
| 0.8969 | 180.89 | |
| -0.0027 | -0.22 |
Estimation Period:
Jan 3, 2017 to Jan 30, 2026
Jan 3, 2017 to Jan 30, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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