Skip to main content
V-Lab

ICE BofA Emerging Markets Corporate Plus Index GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, July 23rd, 2026

1 Day

1.84%

increased by 0.04%

1 Week

1.93%

increased by 0.13%

1 Month

2.22%

increased by 0.42%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, July 23, 2026 at 02:34 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of ICE BofA Emerging Markets Corporate Plus Index GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 1, 1999 to Jul 17, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a notable leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 63% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0009
24.19***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1018
25.41***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8515
273.26***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0641
9.45***

Persistence:

0.985

Half-life:

47 days