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V-Lab

Bloomberg EM Govt Inflation-Linked All Maturities Bond Index TR Unhedged USD GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, July 17th, 2026

1 Day

9.44%

decreased by 0.07%

1 Week

9.74%

increased by 0.23%

1 Month

10.65%

increased by 1.14%

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 17, 2026 at 11:35 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Bloomberg EM Govt Inflation-Linked All Maturities Bond Index TR Unhedged USD GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Feb 3, 2006 to Apr 4, 2025

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 192% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0226
17.19***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0475
13.51***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8758
241.20***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0912
10.52***

Persistence:

0.969

Half-life:

22 days