Bloomberg Global High Yield Total Return Index Value Hedged USD GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful
Volatility prediction for Friday, May 22nd, 2026
1 Day
3.48%
decreased by 0.31%
1 Week
3.60%
decreased by 0.19%
1 Month
4.07%
increased by 0.28%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, May 23, 2026 at 01:57 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.0018 | 16.46 | |
| 0.1097 | 11.39 | |
| 0.8060 | 119.10 | |
| 0.1687 | 8.80 |
Estimation Period:
May 17, 2019 to Apr 4, 2025
May 17, 2019 to Apr 4, 2025
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