Skip to main content
V-Lab

Bloomberg Global High Yield Total Return Index Value Hedged USD MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, July 17th, 2026

1 Day

1.98%

decreased by 0.12%

1 Week

2.21%

increased by 0.11%

1 Month

2.54%

increased by 0.44%

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 17, 2026 at 11:36 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Bloomberg Global High Yield Total Return Index Value Hedged USD MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 17, 2019 to Apr 4, 2025

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a notable leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 99% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

21
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1692
14.83***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.4950
21.36***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1676
10.82***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0009
2.26**
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.1182
3.67***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.8694
23.37***

Persistence:

0.748

Half-life:

2 days