Bloomberg Global Aggregate Corporate Total Return Index Hedged USD MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful
Volatility prediction for Friday, May 22nd, 2026
1 Day
0.71%
decreased by 6.73%
1 Week
1.15%
decreased by 6.29%
1 Month
2.30%
decreased by 5.14%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, May 23, 2026 at 01:57 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 31 | ||
| 0.6975 | 6,975,280.00 | |
| 0.0525 | 524,720.00 | |
| 0.5000 | 5,000,000.00 | |
| 0.6254 | 8.22 | |
| 0.8820 | 8.63 | |
| 0.0000 | 0.00 |
Estimation Period:
Jan 15, 2001 to Apr 4, 2025
Jan 15, 2001 to Apr 4, 2025
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