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V-Lab

Bloomberg Global Aggregate Corporate Total Return Index Hedged USD MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Volatility prediction for Friday, May 22nd, 2026

1 Day

0.71%

decreased by 6.73%

1 Week

1.15%

decreased by 6.29%

1 Month

2.30%

decreased by 5.14%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, May 23, 2026 at 01:57 AM UTC

Date Range:

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to

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1Y ·

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graph of Bloomberg Global Aggregate Corporate Total Return Index Hedged USD MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time
paramt-stat
m31
α0.69756,975,280.00
β0.0525524,720.00
γ0.50005,000,000.00
λ10.62548.22
λ20.88208.63
λ30.00000.00
Estimation Period:
Jan 15, 2001 to Apr 4, 2025