ICE BofA US Corporate Index MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful
Volatility prediction for Thursday, April 2nd, 2026
1 Day
0.00%
decreased by 5.32%
1 Week
0.95%
decreased by 4.37%
1 Month
2.35%
decreased by 2.97%
Analysis last updated: Thursday, April 2, 2026 at 02:40 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 26 | ||
| 0.7500 | 7,499,900.00 | |
| 0.0000 | 100.00 | |
| 0.5000 | 5,000,000.00 | |
| 0.0070 | 3.91 | |
| 1.0000 | 38.19 | |
| 0.0000 | 0.00 |
Estimation Period:
Jan 1, 1990 to Mar 27, 2026
Jan 1, 1990 to Mar 27, 2026
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