ICE BofA Single-B US High Yield Index MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, April 1st, 2026
1 Day
0.00%
decreased by 6.51%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, April 1, 2026 at 02:30 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 36 | ||
| 0.0000 | 100.00 | |
| 0.7500 | 7,499,900.00 | |
| 0.5000 | 5,000,000.00 | |
| 0.0108 | 0.80 | |
| 0.6500 | 584.55 | |
| 0.2106 | 48.51 |
Estimation Period:
Jan 1, 1997 to Mar 27, 2026
Jan 1, 1997 to Mar 27, 2026
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