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V-Lab

ICE BofA Single-B US High Yield Index MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, April 1st, 2026

1 Day

0.00%

decreased by 6.51%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, April 1, 2026 at 02:30 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

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graph of ICE BofA Single-B US High Yield Index MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time
paramt-stat
m36
α0.0000100.00
β0.75007,499,900.00
γ0.50005,000,000.00
λ10.01080.80
λ20.6500584.55
λ30.210648.51
Estimation Period:
Jan 1, 1997 to Mar 27, 2026