ICE BofA Single-B US High Yield Index Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Friday, May 22nd, 2026
1 Day
3.88%
decreased by 0.45%
1 Week
4.00%
decreased by 0.33%
1 Month
4.40%
increased by 0.07%
Analysis last updated: Friday, May 22, 2026 at 02:42 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.2780 | 3.37 | |
| 0.2376 | 11.54 | |
| 0.7479 | 39.08 | |
| 0.2765 | 2.77 | |
| -0.5751 | -3.19 | |
| 0.5402 | 3.60 | |
| -0.3635 | -2.95 | |
| 0.1416 | 1.40 | |
| 0.0006 | 0.01 | |
| -0.0034 | -0.05 | |
| -0.0495 | -0.84 | |
| 0.0395 | 0.93 |
Estimation Period:
Jan 1, 1997 to May 15, 2026
Jan 1, 1997 to May 15, 2026
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